FRANKFURT (Reuters) – New accounting rules for banks risk exacerbating economic crises by making them reluctant to lend if the economy suddenly worsens, the European Union’s financial stability watchdog said on Monday.
Guess which two markets I am watching right now?
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Full credit to: Charles Hugh Smith
The one thing we can know with certainty is it won’t be easy to profit from the crash.
After 8+ years of phenomenal gains, it’s pretty obvious the global stock market rally is overdue for a credit-cycle downturn, and many research services of Wall Street heavyweights are sounding the alarm about the auto industry’s slump, the slowing of new credit and other fundamental indicators that a recession is becoming more likely.
Few have taken the risk of projecting a date for the crash, this gent being a gutsy outlier: Hedge Fund CIO Sets The Day When The Next Crash Begins.
Next February is a good guess, as recessions and market downturns tend to lag the credit market by about 9 months.
Summary: US equity markets made new all-time highs again this past week. By Friday, SPX had risen 7 days in a row; that type of trend persistence has a strong tendency to carry the markets higher over the next week(s). While a period of higher volatility than what has been seen so far this year is odds-on, investors should not expect the bull market to be near an important top. Markets weaken before they reverse, and the existing trend has yet to weaken at all.